'Tehran assumes war is behind them: Iran will not capitulate, Trump has it all wrong'

Nadia Massih is pleased to welcome Danny Citrinowicz, Senior Researcher in the Iran and Shi'ite Axis Program at the Institute for National Security Studies. According to Citrinowicz, the trajectory of the war in Iran hinges not on battlefield dominance alone, but on competing perceptions of resilience, legitimacy, and leverage.

Key takeaways

Quick scan — what you need to know:

• Nadia Massih is pleased to welcome Danny Citrinowicz, Senior Researcher in the Iran and Shi'ite Axis Program at the Institute for National Security Studies.
• According to Citrinowicz, the trajectory of the war in Iran hinges not on battlefield dominance alone, but on competing perceptions of resilience, legitimacy, and leverage.
• Despite America's overwhelming military asymmetry, the Iranian regime interprets its endurance as a form of strategic success, reinforcing its bargaining position and diminishing the likelihood of…

Background

What led here, in plain terms:

• According to Citrinowicz, the trajectory of the war in Iran hinges not on battlefield dominance alone, but on competing perceptions of resilience, legitimacy, and leverage.
• Despite America's overwhelming military asymmetry, the Iranian regime interprets its endurance as a form of strategic success, reinforcing its bargaining position and diminishing the likelihood of…

Why it matters

Why readers and decision-makers should care:

• Despite America's overwhelming military asymmetry, the Iranian regime interprets its endurance as a form of strategic success, reinforcing its bargaining position and diminishing the likelihood of…
• Nadia Massih is pleased to welcome Danny Citrinowicz, Senior Researcher in the Iran and Shi'ite Axis Program at the Institute for National Security Studies.
• According to Citrinowicz, the trajectory of the war in Iran hinges not on battlefield dominance alone, but on competing perceptions of resilience, legitimacy, and leverage.