If you’re a Royals fan of a certain age, the phrase “Lima Time!” will mean something to you. In 2003, the Royals were surprise contenders after getting off to an incredibly hot start. But they needed starting pitching help due to injury and ineffectiveness. Enter José Lima.
Lima was an interesting case; he’d been a 20-game winner as recently as 1999 for the Houston Astros. But he’d also been cut by the Detroit Tigers in 2002 after pitching to a 7.77 ERA in 68.1 innings both as a starter and a reliever. To open the 2003 season, he was pitching in the Independent Atlanta League. His first start for the Royals that year saw him allow 4 runs in 6 innings and take a no-decision with the Royals rallied with two runs in the ninth off of Giants closer Tim Worrell. From then on, it was Lima Time! Lima won 7 straight starts while pitching to a ridiculous 1.65 ERA. I was young and cut off from other Royals fans at the time, but I remember thinking the Royals had found a true ace that would lead them for years to come. With the benefit of hindsight and more advanced analytics than pitcher wins, I can see now that the 3.4% K-BB% he had over that span pointed to oncoming problems. Lima went 1-3 over his final 6 starts with a 10.65 ERA. Sadly, Lima time was not to last.
Why do I bring all this up? Randy Dobnak reminds me a lot of José. I’m older and wiser now, so I can see past the shiny 2.00 ERA to the remarkably similar 3.3% K-BB%. Still, given that the Royals aren’t competing for a playoff spot as they were when Lima was around, it’s safe to just enjoy the ride of Dobnak time for as long as we can. Maybe it will even last until the end of the season! Hopefully, it lasts at least one more start, tonight.
The Angels will have Reid Detmers on the mound. Reid was considered the 47th-best prospect in MLB when he graduated from the list in 2022. He has a killer curveball and he has shown occasional flashes of brilliance, but he’s never been able to fully put things together. He does have a 3.99 ERA going back to the start of last year, and he’s been worth 3.0 fWAR this year, but he has been very up-and-down this season and is definitely not the true ace the Angels would like him to be, despite the ridiculous 14-strikeout, 1-hit, 0-walk outing he had against Texas earlier this season.
Unfortunately for the Royals, Detmers is in one of those up spans right this moment. He has a 2.39 ERA while striking out 33 and walking only 8 in his last 5 starts covering 26.1 innings. He’s also gone 0-2 over that span because the Angels’ offense has been… lackluster.
The curveball no longer grades well stuff-wise, but it’s been doing work for him along with the changeup. The real killer pitch might be his slider, though, which he throws second-most only to his fastball. The Royals will want to avoid letting him control the game with it if they can avoid it.
Detmers does have a 6.35 ERA against the Royals in four starts and two relief appearances in his career. He started against the Royals earlier this year and allowed 3 runs in 5 innings in the game that saw Jac Caglianone hit a game-tying home run in the ninth and Lane Thomas smack a game-winner in the tenth. Maybe the Royals can just dominate this time with a magma-hot Caglianone getting the start instead of being forced to come off the bench.
Lineups
Salvador Perez is back in the lineup after exiting with elbow soreness Wednesday night. Jac Caglianone and Michael Massey, the offensive leaders from last night, are the only lefties who will be in the lineup to face Detmers. Let’s hope they can do more damage tonight because I don’t like the Royals chances if they’re relying on 6-9 tonight.